FTSEMib Technical Analysis: Tug of War

After the decline of two weeks ago, the Italian market has positioned itself on a support level where the usual tug of war between bulls and bears is taking place to establish the next trend.

By Fabio Pioli, professional trader, creator of Miraclapp, the largest extra income platform

We will soon in this same article comment on what we think the graphic form of the FTSEMib index says. But let’s focus first on what is most important: what to do and what mistakes to avoid.

We repeat ourselves: the biggest mistake of 2024 will be buying badly. It is obvious that as soon as prices fall the thought of buying appears. It’s normal and – to tell the truth – this is precisely the strategy addressed to its customers: buying at the right time and based on a valid indication. The point is that this applies to us because we know exactly where to enter and where to exit but this does not apply to you.

For you, without having any confidential information that has the odds all in your favor, it is better for you to refrain from buying and refer to the following graph (Figure 1). Related to it comes the question: “am I buying high or am I buying down?”. Since the answer is obvious, refrain from buying.

Fig 1. Future FTSEMib – Weekly chart

On the graphic side, the answer is not so unambiguous: it cannot be. There must always be a “tug of war” between bulls and bears that makes the forecast unclear. And this is why we also consider longs, if they are reported as valid and on the main stocks.

In fact, as it should be, in going down the market stopped right on its supports and rebounded here (Figure 2).

technical-analysis-ftsemib-24-June-2024-2

Fig 2. Future FTSEMib – Weekly chart

Is there therefore a possibility that 32,800 points is a support price from which to start again to return upwards in a bullish trend that breaks the highs? Absolutely yes. Is there a possibility that 32,800 will instead be broken down and then the downtrend will be exacerbated? Yes, this is also possible.

What remains true is that, in the absence of signals, be they short or long term, you do not have the basis to take either of these two trends so it is better that you refrain from buying.

The ownership of the analysis reported here belongs to the author of the same, and the publisher – who hosts this commentary – assumes no responsibility for its content and for the purposes for which the reader will use it. The author communicates that this presentation presents information that could potentially implicitly or explicitly suggest an investment strategy regarding one or more financial instruments and opinions on the current or future value or price of such instruments and is intended as a marketing communication. As such it does not constitute research prepared in accordance with legal requirements to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition prohibiting dealings by analysts and relevant persons prior to dissemination of the research in investment matters.
 
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