Brothers of Italy firmly in the lead, above the political result of a year and a half ago. PD growing, exactly seven points behind. And Forza Italia’s overtaking of the League. These are some of the news that emerge from the latest Ipsos survey for Corriere della Sera. Which, just over two months before the European elections, certifies that 52.5 percent of voters are still undecided, or intend not to participate in the elections.
In short, the games are not over yet. And within the parties there is an awareness that the weeks to come will be decisive in motivating those who do not yet have clear ideas. In the meantime, however, some trends are being recorded: the growth of FdI, which brings the total of government parties to 44.9% of the consensus (even if in the European elections voting is based on proportional representation and everyone is running for himself), and a recovery of the Democratic Party at the expense of the 5 Star Movement. Giorgia Meloni’s party, which set the bar at 26% in the previous elections, rises to 27.5%, with a further sprint of half a point compared to the previous Ipsos survey.
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Overtaking
The Dems also performed well, on the second step of the podium, up to 20.5% compared to the 19 they were estimated at a month ago (when they achieved the same result as in the 2022 elections). On the other hand, the Cinquestelle, bronze medalist, dropped: from 17.4% in February the Movement went to 16.1% in March.
Continuing in the ranking, the surprise is Forza Italia’s overtaking of the League: Antonio Tajani’s party accelerates and reaches 8.7%, while the Northern League remains at 8%. A month ago the two majority forces were tied at 8.2. Regardless of how much the individual majority parties like it, for Ipsos the executive approval indicator is today 47, one point above last month, while that of Giorgia Meloni is 48.
Outside the European Chamber
This being the case, looking at the poll, all the other lists would remain outside the EU Parliament: the left Green Alliance and Viva Italia at 3.3% each, +Europa at 2.8, Action at 2.5. But the survey does not take into account one of the latest developments in the field of minorities, namely the now almost definitive marriage in view of the June vote between the Renzians and the formation of Emma Bonino. Added together, in fact, IV and +Europa would total 6.1%, thus exceeding the European Chamber’s threshold of 4%.
Even We Moderates, with 0.7%, would not gain seats in Brussels for the moment. However, there are rumors of a probable agreement with Forza Italia, which could give further boost to the blue party and open the doors of the EU Parliament to Maurizio Lupi’s list.
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