With the last four matches played yesterday, the group stage of the Euro 2024 Germany. Several surprises at the end of the first three days which have decreed a composition of the scoreboard that leads to the decidedly unbalanced final.
On the side ofItalia, in fact, in addition to Swiss in the round of 16, the real big threats are represented by England e When. In the event of reaching the quarter-finals, only one of the Germania, France, Spain e Portugal – finished on the same side of the scoreboard – will be able to access the final on July 14th
To try to understand at this moment who is the real favorite for the title Euro2024we relied on the algorithm of choosewho – based on thousands and thousands of simulations between the matches scheduled in the next few days – decreed the victory percentages for each national team at the end of the group stage.
Let’s start by saying that atItalianet of a more facilitated path compared to other selections, a win percentage of 4.86%the highest week among the National teams in play, behind theHolland with 6.70%.
Despite the enormous difficulties encountered in terms of both the game and the results up to this point, the real favorite with a success percentage equal to 19,98% according to the Opta algorithm it is theEnglandThe highly contested team Southgate It precedes the Spainsecond with the 17,17%. A prediction most likely influenced by the different combinations of the scoreboard that see England, like Italy, facing a path with fewer pitfalls than the Spanish.
To complete the podium is listed the Germany with a percentage of 15.83%before France (13.40%) and Portugal (8.34%) in top five.
