What happens if Giorgia Meloni wins the European elections? With the prime minister having decided to run personally on 8 and 9 June, this question is very topical given how the leader of the Brothers of Italy is spending a lot in this electoral campaign which is now coming to an end.
Over a year and a half after the triumph of the policies, however Giorgia Meloni these European elections represent the first real test at a national level, but it will not just be a matter of testing his real approval in the country.
The European elections 2024 they also represent a unique opportunity for the right within the European Union: never before on this occasion is there the possibility of breaking the historic axis Popular-Socialist-Liberal which has always dictated the law in Brussels.
Looking instead at our homeland, Giorgia Meloni at the European elections will have to repel the assault of Democratic party who can count on several important representatives on her lists, but the Prime Minister will also have the opportunity to definitively take over the centre-right.
Despite the superficial declarations, the relations between the prime minister and Matteo Salvini continue to be described as terrible, with the two leaders who have teased each other during this election campaign without ever reaching a political clash.
These European elections thus seem to have many meanings for Meloni: it is therefore necessary to clarify what could be the terms within which after the vote one could talk about victory or defeat.
European elections 2024: how can Meloni win?
In Italy to talk about one victory of Giorgia Meloni in the 2024 European elections you have to start from a percentage: 26%or how much taken from Brothers of Italy to the latest policies of September 2022.
In this electoral campaign, Meloni explained that the objective of Fratelli d’Italia is to confirm the votes taken in the political elections at the European elections; consequently, if the prime minister were to manage not to fall below this bar, it would undoubtedly be a success for her.
However, there are those who whisper that Giorgia Meloni wants to try to make a “bang” next June 8th and 9th, reaching 30% so much so that she has candidate in person as the head of the list in all five constituencies.
Looking at the other parties, the Prime Minister would also aim to maintain a good gap between FdI and the Democratic partywhile a new electoral flop of Matteo Salvini it could be the tombstone of the minister’s big plans who, as can also be seen from the name of his party – Lega per Salvini Premier -, after the last European elections when he managed to get 34%, had made up his mind to get to the Palace himself Chigi.
If we broaden our gaze to the overall scenario ofEuropean UnionGiorgia Meloni has been at the head of the for some time Conservatives and Reformistsa centre-right group that has always been in opposition in Brussels like Identity & Democracythis group is more right-wing and also includes the presence of Matteo Salvini’s League.
Now that I&D has expelled the Germans of the AfD who never renounced Nazi policy, aunion between these two groups which could give rise to a very large right-wing united force within the European Parliament.
Giorgia Meloni’s goal would be to tempt the Popolari into giving life to one majority without the Socialistsso much so that recently relations between the Prime Minister and the Prime Minister have been more than cordial Ursula von der Leyenthe current President of the Commission who is aiming for a second mandate.
In summary, for Meloni it would be a victory to manage not to go below 26% of the votes, while in Brussels the desire would be not to be relegated once again to the opposition: if the first objective seems to be within reach, for the second the path appears more uphill.
