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The latest releases modeling confirms the drastic change in circulation caused by the westward imbalance of the Atlantic trough. The arrival of fresh currents and also of bad weather on the sector Iberian will trigger a rise in warm currents of Saharan origin towards the heart of the Mediterranean and Italy. An African anticyclonic bubble that will bring very intense heat to the central-southern regions and partly also to the North with temperature values until 10/15°C above average of the period. The same baggage should then move towards France and involve gods strong thunderstorms a part of northern Italy.
At least until Wednesday-Thursday we can therefore talk about predictiona forecast that sees sunshine in Italy with temperatures progressively and inexorably rising. Model estimates I’m even for values above 40/41°C on Sicily, Calabria, Puglia but locally also in the Centre. The only but very relative threat could be represented by the development of some afternoon or evening thunderstorms in the far North-West, strictly along the Alpine sectors. The highlight days of the heat should be 19, 20 (summer solstice)21 then there is the unknown bad weather which we mentioned but let’s get into it further a trend. In this regard, the models predict the arrival of strong storms between the 20th and 21st with the main objective northwest Italy. This means that time would continue to hold stable and very warm on the rest of the country.
Because of this potential worsening the reliability is lower and it will therefore be necessary to adjust the aim over the next few years updates.
The concentration of pollutants in your area varies depending on current and expected weather conditions. To find out the pollution rate, consult our air quality maps, always updated >> Air quality.
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