June: the latest projections from Central Europe warn Italy about the expected temperatures. Summer 2024 could in fact start with a rather marked climatic anomaly in many of our regions.
As we always remember, this type of forecast serves to provide a general and summary idea of the expected weather on a large scale. However, thanks to scientific progress, seasonal trends have now become a valid scientific prognosis toolwith decisive contributions in longer-term climate assessment.
Having said this, the first thing to consider, based on the data that has just arrived, is that already with the start of June the temperatures could result well above averagewith deviations from the reference values of even +3°C over a large part of central-western Europe, including Italy. The cause is to be found in the particular arrangement of the high and low pressure areas: we will most likely already have to deal with the fearful one African anticyclone.
As shown in the map The heat will particularly affect the regions of Central-South and the two major islands: given the origin of the air masses (inside the Sahara desert) it is reasonable to expect the first real bursts of heat, with the thermometers ready to splash widely above 34/35°C.