We won’t dwell on the forecasts weather forecast for the next few weeks and summer months, but on one important thing, which many ask us. Milan, Turin and generally in the North-Westmany users have expressed dissatisfaction with the weather forecast of June 2024, which it was not characterized by a truly summery climate. We can understand this perception, since the sky was often cloudy, at times leaden, with frequent rain. Precipitation was exceptionally heavy, with some events weather forecast of a certain intensity.
Let’s refer to the averages
In June 2024, more than twice as much rain fell as the historical average in many affected areas. Furthermore, since January, the annual average rainfall, r, has been exceededit is clear that it has rained a lot, but this has been the case for a few weeks now.
This exceptional amount of rain contributed to the perception of cold, or rather cool, felt by many in Milan, Turin and other cities in the North-West. In recent decades, summer weather conditions have changed significantly compared to the period before 2000, with an average temperature increase of approximately 2 degrees.
Not Summer? Or maybe not?
At this point, one wonders: is it true that it is not summer in the Northwest?The answer is not so simple. The average temperature in June tends to increase, and there are at least two very hot days forecast, which aligns the average temperatures with those of the period 1971-2000.
However, it is clear that the weather forecast has changed profoundly. In the western Po Valley it almost never snows in winter and frosts are rare. This requires a review of the climatic averages of the last thirty years of reference, since climate change is rapid and thirty years could be too long for an accurate analysis.
June on average a few decades ago
If we consider the period 1971-2000, characterized by snowy winters and not excessively hot summers, June 2024 would be average and therefore summery. However, with the climate change currently, the common perception is that June 2024 was cooler than in recent years.
The perception of the climate is influenced by rapid changes, but statistics record these changes with a delay, creating confusion. The Global Warming, the global warming of our planet, is a scientifically recognized phenomenon, but the common perception, although less scientific, has a significant impact on people’s daily lives. The subjective perception of the climate often matters more to those who experience these changes every day.
