In less than twenty years the number of people of working age in the “Granda” will drop from the current 63% of the population to 56%. This means that only just over half of those in the Cuneo area, for age reasons, i.e. from 14 to 65 years old, will be able to work. This data would be enough to generate concerns about how the territory can still be considered, in the short term, the “engine” of the Piedmont economy, even if other areas are certainly not better off, even at a European level. The data on demographic trends in the province are managed by the research office of the Chamber of Commerce on Istat and Infocamere processing and were described in the hall of honor of the Chamber of Commerce of Cuneo by Professor Francesco Billari, Rector of Bocconi University, one of the leading experts in the subject. They are clear because we talk about a “demographic winter”.
It will not be necessary to wait 17 years (the data for 56% of the working population are expected in 2041. Because the alarm is already there today. Just look at the trends: in the Cuneo area at the end of 2023, 3,946 children were born and the number of deaths exceeded births by far, reaching 6,931 units. In 2022: 7,920 births and 14,524 deaths. In 2008, 5,554 children were born, 40% more than today is 47.9). In 2041 it will be equal to 49 years and there will be 276 elderly people for every 100 under 15s (ISTAT data). compared to the previous year, according to the report of the Cuneo Chamber of Commerce). the trend remains negative. The future? In 17 years it will decrease by 6,400 units and over 32% of the population will be over 65.
What social economic impact will there be? The first, evident: provincial youth enterprises have decreased by 1,824 units from 2011 to today (from 7,812 to 5,988) with a constant physiological decline until 2023.
THE REST OF THE ANALYSIS IN THE ISSUE OF WEDNESDAY 19 JANUARY ON NEWSSTANDS, ON PAPER, ON THE WEB AND ON APPS FOR SMARTPHONES AND TABLETS.
