Who will win the 2024 European elections on 8 and 9 June? The latest political polls on voting intentions before the polls.
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Who will win the 2024 European elections on 8 and 9 June? During the voting weekend, polling stations will be open on Saturday from 2pm to 10pm and on Sunday from 7am to 11pm. European citizens are called to elect the representatives of the European Parliament: elections are held every five years and Italy will elect 76 parliamentarians. The lists of MEP candidates for the Italian parties were delivered on May 1st: on the ballot paper, next to the symbol, it will be possible to indicate a maximum of three preferences, as long as they are of different genders. Anyone who wishes to indicate two preferences for male candidates can only do so by alternating them with one for a woman, and vice versa.
In recent days, several political polls on the political elections have been released. In the last fifteen days before the vote, according to law 28 of 2000, it will no longer be possible to publish polls until the closing of voting operations, “even if such polls were carried out in a period prior to that of the ban”, as stated in the text of the law. Here, then, are the latest polls before the vote.
The Supermedia of YouTrend political polls
The average of all the surveys proposed by YouTrend for Agi gives Brothers of Italy still firmly as the first party with 27.2%, but slightly decreasing (-0.4%). The Democratic party instead it is growing and has never been so close to Giorgia Meloni’s party in vote forecasts: it stands at 20.6%, up 0.5% compared to the latest super average. It thus gains almost one percentage point on FdI and is almost five points behind 5 Star Movement, stuck at 15.9%. It is head to head, however, between allies in the center-right: Forza Italia And League they are at 8.6% and 8.4% respectively.
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What the BiDiMedia survey says
According to the latest BiDiMedia survey it is Brothers of Italy is Democratic party grow and earn 0.6%, while the 5 Star Movement it would lose almost a percentage point (-0.9%) stopping at 15.7%. Good news for the League by Matteo Salvini, which returns to growth (0.5%) after difficult months, and stands at 8.8%, close to the levels of the political elections. Above 8% too Forza Italia. Three other lists, according to BiDiMedia’s findings, would exceed the 4% threshold: United States of Europe (4.9%), Greens-Left Alliance (4.3%) e Action (4%).
The Demopolis poll of May 8th
Brothers of Italy it is the first party with 27.2% and is growing (+0.2%), but according to the latest Demopolis poll the gap with the Democratic party has decreased: the political entity led by Elly Schlein rises to 20.7%, with growth of more than half a point (+0.7%). The 5 Star Movement instead it is losing ground: it is at 15%, with a drop of 0.8%, half a point below the result of the latest policies. Forza Italia And League they are separated by only a tenth of a percentage point, at 8.6% and 8.5% respectively.
What the Emg survey says
In the latest Emg survey, Brothers of Italy detach the Democratic party by 6 points, but the Democratic Party exceeds the psychological threshold of 21% for the first time, close to the result obtained in the last European elections and more than two points above the percentage obtained in the 2022 elections. Stuck at 16%, however, the 5 Star Movement. For second place in the center-right coalition it is neck and neck between Forza Italia And League, equal to 8.5%. According to Emg’s findings, only one other list would enter the European Parliament: United States of Europethe entity supported by +Europa and Italia Viva, which grew to 5%.
The SWG survey on voting intentions
In the SWG survey for La7 Fratelli of Italystable at 26.6%, is the first party, about 18 percentage points behind its government allies: the League it rises to 8.8% and confirms itself as the second party, while Forza Italia stops at 8.5%. They also go up Democratic party And 5 Star Movement: the allies in the center-left stand at 20.6% and 16.1% respectively. In the opposition camp, three other parties exceed the 4% threshold. United States of Europe is close to 5% e Action by Carlo Calenda reaches 4.5%. It would also enter the European Parliament Greens-Left Alliancewhich grows up to 4.6%.
The Quorum/YouTrend poll from May 6
According to the Quorum/YouTrend survey carried out for Sky, all three of the major Italian parties are declining. Brothers of Italy it would be 27.3% (-0.3%); The Democratic party it loses a tenth of a percentage point, but remains above 20%; The 5 Star Movement loses 0.3% and drops to 16%. Instead it starts to grow again League (+0.3%), which it reaches Forza Italia, stable at 8.3%. The shares of United States of Europethe list of +Europa and Italia Viva, and of Greens-Left Alliance: they both earned 0.1% and stood at 4.6% and 4.5% respectively.
What the Dire/Tecnè survey says
The gap between Brothers of Italy And Democratic party it shortens, it is now seven points: in the Dire-Tecnè poll Giorgia Meloni’s party loses 0.2%, while the Dems grow (+0.3%). Slight decline for the 5 Star Movement (0.1%). Stable above 10% Forza Italiawhich detaches the League by almost two and a half points: the Northern League grows slightly and is at 7.8%. Losing ground United States of Europehowever above the threshold with 4.6%, while Greens-Left Alliance reaches 4%. Stable, but outside the European Parliament it would be Actionstuck at 3.8%.
