There are only a few days left until the first round of legislative elections in France. On Sunday, June 30, over 49 million voters will be called to the polls to renew the National Assembly, following its dissolution by President Emmanuel Macron. The Rassemblement National continues to rise in the polls: according to the analysis by “Elabe” for Bfm tv e La Tribune Sunday, published this morning, is expected to garner 36 percent of the vote. The New Popular Front is following (27.5 percent) and accentuating the distance from the Macronians (20 percent), who – according to the data – would lose 140 seats in the Assemblée Nationale out of a current total of 250. Two days before the first round, the following on July 7, the far right of Marine Le Pen and her protégé, Jordan Bardella, is launched not only towards a large relative majority, but is now close to an absolute one. The Républicains, however, are at 9 percent.
The projection in seats
For the first time the RN could secure between 260 and 295 seats (out of a total of 577, absolute majority starting from 289), the New Popular Front between 155 and 175, the Macronians of Ensemble between 85 and 105. Pollsters warn However, the projections must be read with caution, since the composition of the candidates in each of the 577 constituencies for the second round is not currently known and is also the result of predictions on the results of the first. In recent days, Macron has launched an appeal: a victory for the “extremists”, whether from the far right or the far left, would lead France to “civil war”, he had said.
