Bologna, 8 June 2024 – These are not just midterm elections, the US mid-term which sounds like a report card on the first turning point of an administration: these European consultationsFor Emilia Romagna And Marcheare above all the launch of Regional arriving in October, on the Via Emilia, and next year, along the Adriatic ridge.
And Regional means money, power, decisions: from healthcare to infrastructure, from one of the richest parliaments to influence on municipalities and local and national politics.
The results of the vote in the 2019 European elections in the constituencies in which Emilia Romagna and the Marche are included
The Centre-right could reconfirm the absolute majority (in 2019 the League was at 33.7%, FI at 5.8% and Fratelli d’Italia at 4.6%), but it needs a more civic and less divisive candidate (or candidate) to win, given that in 2020 he fell against all the polls. Maybe even more Bolognese, given that the Two Towers were decisive for the victory of Bonaccini: the civic Elena Ugolini (principal and former undersecretary of Education with Mario Monti) remains the favourite.
FdI has a valid alternative in Thomas Foti, but we will have to see how much the Melonians will manage to achieve in one of the most complicated regions.
In the Democratic Party, the mayor of Ravenna is increasingly cast after Bonaccini Michele De Pascale, now the protagonist of the daily national debate on the flood (yesterday also with the prime minister). He could go to Ravenna in his place Andrea Corsiniwhile for Viale Aldo Moro the unknown remains Vincenzo Collaoutgoing regional councilor, and the demands of the mayor of Bologna are looming Matteo Lepore.
This is where the political agreement on De Pascale comes into play, which Bonaccini certainly appreciates. And it is on Bonaccini’s result that many Schleinians will ‘act’, perhaps undermining De Pascale himself: in 2019, the then league leader Carlo Calenda he obtained 278 thousand preferences in the constituency and over 106 thousand in Emilia-Romagna.
Self Reggio Emilia, Modena And Cesena they will remain on the centre-left, if the flooded cities do not change direction, there will hardly be any reversals.
The real test is for Matteo Ricci, outgoing mayor of Pesaro. Not only because Pesaro and Fano are the last strongholds of the left in the Marche, but because a good result in the difficult and competitive center constituency, regardless of the election, will give the dimension to his ‘anti-Acquaroli’ status.
The president in office is the favorite for the encore and the Democratic Party, still dazed by the defeat in Ancona, has no really important names to spare. At the same time, for FdI the result in the Marche will have the flavor of a real advance judgment on the council Francesco Acquaroli.
The ones that all analysts see as most likely are a Forlì And Reggio Emilia. Watch out Casalecchio di Reno, Sassuolo, Fano And Cervia, where surprises could be recorded. The European mix – administrative However, don’t be fooled: even five years ago the European vote, purely political and proportional, marked many differences with that on mayors, where the person, the program and the concreteness have an impact.
