France, Le Pen still ahead in the polls (34%) eight days before the vote. But the left pushes it to 29%. Macron recovers: he is at 22%

What appeared to be a desperate move by Emmanuel Macron will not give him back his majority in the Assembly, but it has earned him some votes. After the European elections, where she saw her main opponent, Marine Le Pen, gather double the support of her, the head of the Elysée called new political elections to […]

What appeared to be a desperate move by Emmanuel Macron it will not give him the majority back Assembly, but it earned him some votes. After Europeanwhere he saw his main opponent, Marine Le Pencollect double his support, the head of the‘Elisha he called new political elections to establish who will lead the new executive of Paris. The result sees the far right as favoured National Rally which is weaving local agreements with the candidates of Republicansbut the latest polls say that the united left is advancing and Macron has managed, eight days before the new vote, to recover 4% compared to the elections of 9 June.

The numbers were published by the conservative newspaper Le Figaro: the Rassemblement National stands at 34%, still up 2.6 percentage points compared to the European elections, and it is not the president’s party that follows it, but rather the left-wing bloc of New Popular Front at 29%. It is only in third place, with a gap that is still wide even if decreasing Renaissance of Macron, at 22%. The gap from the Rassemblement National decreases by 4 points but remains very wide and, in the meantime, the alternative left-wing bloc rises and seriously undermines the far right, leaving Macron out of the picture.

The reasons for these important variations in such a short time can also be linked to the data on the possible turnout which, according to the survey, it should be very higharound 64%, five points more than the 2022 legislative elections. A sign that a part of the French considers this vote important and, in the event of a run-off, even the possible transmigration of votes from the Macronian electorate to the left could prevent Le Pen from winning the majority in the Assembly.