The data from the European elections arrive like a karst river, on the night of the big vote. The website of the ministry mediated by the Prefecture produces numbers even well ahead of forecasts but the trends stabilize slowly, in Italy as in our latitudes.
The fixed points? The honeymoon with Fratelli d’Italia continues: Giorgia Meloni’s party floats steadily above 31% of the consensus, therefore a further increase compared to the data from two years ago (2022 politics), when in the Senate and the Chamber they were above the 28%. So with signs of progressive strengthening, in the city they were at 30.7% based on Senate data, the numbers for most of the night enjoyed a few more decimals, even if subjected to checks that only dawn can lock in the safe . The other phenomenon that is taking shape is a sudden rise of the Democratic Party. Which hovers above 30% for a long time, although then during the night it fluctuates between 30 and 29%, therefore at lower shares than those of the dominant party.
In the city it had fallen to 23%, in the Senate college it was close to 26%, exceeding 30% only thanks to the embrace with the radical left, without which it would have been lower. Now the first wave of the new course presents data that is almost a photocopy of what is emerging in parallel at a national level. In the rest of the scenario, the parties they are chasing move on the decimal line: Five Star, Lega and Forza Italia, according to a balance entrusted to the exact numbers of the night. And the Azzurri overcoming their Northern League allies. The grillini leave double figures behind to slip around 8%, often below. Forza Italia rises back to around 7% but without reaching the peaks reached at a national level. The League moves between the confirmation of its data and a further slowdown, however below the FI data.
Two certainties on the night of the vote: the abysmal distance between the two sides. On the one hand, it is the distance that divides the Democratic Party from potential broad-based five-star allies and on the other, that which divides Giorgia Meloni from the iron allies of the coalition. For the rest, Renzi and Bonino are traveling stronger than Calenda but here too they are suspended around the vital ceiling of 4%. And the advance of the left remains above 5% for a long time, a significant figure which, combined with that of the Democratic Party, perhaps configures broad-based scenarios different from those imagined so far. Behind it, Santoro’s movement remains far from that ceiling but with better data than those of the exit polls at national level. Voting in the city? There are 39,423 people from Arezzo in the cabin. The highest vote is in the Giotto area, with peaks of 62%. Data below the 50% threshold in Saione and via Fiorentina.
