16 May 2024
cgil modena, ires, modena, oel, economy and work observatory,
The phase of serious uncertainty linked to strong geopolitical tensions continues at a global level, which has already led to a marked slowdown in world trade.
Despite this, the process continued in 2023 growth of the Modena economy started in 2021, albeit at a much slower pace compared to previous years (+1.6% added value, still higher than the regional average of 1.3%). Construction and tertiary it is always the macro-sectors that are the driving force. The latter in particular benefits from the persistent good performance of tourism, thanks above all to flows from abroad.
Instead, it continues difficult phase of the industry in the strict sense, which is particularly affected by the slowdown in exports, which is particularly heavy in a key sector for the provincial economy such as that of ceramic.
However, economic growth is no longer accompanied by growth in employmentas was the case very robustly in 2022. The number of employed people falls slightly, due to a decline in employed workers (-3.2%) and a simultaneous growth in self-employed workers who had already increased in 2022. They are growing unemployed and especially the inactive.
In 2023, the percentage of fixed-term employees returns, after the growth of 2022, to the same levels as in 2021, but overall the share of employees experiencing a condition of “work discomfort”, mainly because they are forced, in the absence of valid alternatives, to work on a temporary and/or part-time basis. In this condition one finds almost the 18% of employees. Furthermore, INPS data confirms that only 53.6% of employed workers of the private non-agricultural sectors he worked in 2022 full time all year round.
In a year in which prices increased significantly (+8.3% according to the NIC index referring to the province of Modena), the wages annual averages of non-agricultural private employees increased by 3.9%, but this is an increase partly due to the greater number of hours worked: in fact the average daily wage it grew by only 1.8%a percentage which actually drops to 1.7% for women (against +2.1% for males) and to 1.0% for workers.
Even the tax returns returns in 2023 and relating to the 2022 tax year confirm one tendency to increase inequalities: while income from work and similar grew on average by 3.3% compared to the previous year, income from self-employment recorded an increase that exceeded that of inflation: +11.0%.
There population overall in the province of Modena has been substantially stable in recent years, but is accelerating aging of the population, with an average age that has reached 46 years, increasing by 2 years in the last decade.
At the basis of this phenomenon is a sharp decline in births starting from 2009 which in 2022, also due to the increase in deaths in recent years, has generated a highly negative natural balance (-2,997 people), for now offset by migratory balancesnot only foreigners but also Italians.
Resident foreigners in the province of Modena there are approximately 96 thousand and their percentage of the total resident population has been substantially stable in recent years (13.6% as of 1.1.2023). Of these, approximately ¾ are aged between 15 and 64 and over 71 thousand were registered by INPS among the workers of the province, the majority of whom, approximately 70%, are employed as employees of the non-private sectors. agricultural. Their average salary per year is around €18,000, with a very significant gap between males and females. The province of Modena is affected by a high risk of landslides and flooding, emphasized by a high percentage of land consumption (11.0% against the regional average of 8.9%). It is also one of the territories with the most polluted air in the region: even if in 2023 the situation has improved, in the last 5 years the station via Giardini in Modena is the one in the entire region that has recorded the highest number of annual exceedances of the limit of 50 μg/m3 average daily, considered by the limit law of protection of human health.
Modena, 16 May 2024
