If Sunday against Como o in the last race Modena in Lecco conquer at least a point, everything written in this article no longer counts for anything. That is, just one point is enough for the mathematical salvation of the yellows, who can then not care about what the other teams do.
Let’s also say that, ranking in hand, Bisoli’s team most likely it is already safe, even without that little extra dot, but until the numbers give their verdictthe only unappealable one, the permanence in Serie B remains pending. Having made these necessary premises, let’s see the possible scenarios in the event that the aforementioned point does not manage to decree, beyond any reasonable doubt, the permanence of the yellows among the cadets also in the next season.
Two teams, Lecco and Feralpi can no longer reach Modena at 43, where they can arrive Bari (37),Ternana (37), Ascoli (37) and Spezia (40). The yellows must get behind at least three of these formations to stay safe. In the hypothesis, which appears very unlikely but which mathematics cannot exclude, that Modena loses against Como and Lecco and at the same time Bari, Ternana and Ascoli each win the two remaining matches and Spezia wins one, there are five of them share 43. Let’s look then the separate ranking among these five based on direct clashes: Modena is safe in all possible combinations. Salvo also scored 43 points in all four-team and three-team combinations. It’s there though a loose cannon called Spezia, now at 40: if he scores more than three points in two games, he is already safe and no longer enters those combinations. This could get Modena into trouble who in a four-team combination (Modena and Bari 10, Ascoli 8, Ternana 2) and in two or three teams (Modena and Bari 6, Ascoli 2) and (Modena and Bari 6, Ternana 2), he has to deal with Bari to avoid the play out. Equal in head-to-head matches (2 draws) and in their goal difference, between them the goal difference in the general classification would decide: now Modena -7, Bari -13. In short, let’s do this blessed point and leave all the calculations to others!
