Despite the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops in the east, the Russian advance is still proceeding slowly. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) writes this, according to which…
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Despite the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops in the east, the Russian advance is still proceeding slowly. He writes itInstitute for the Study of War (ISW)according to which Moscow’s army is unlikely to be able to penetrate deeply into the area in the short term. Recent Russian conquests northwest of Avdiivka (Donetsk), in fact, have pushed Ukrainian forces to retreat from other positions along the front line west of the city, but this has not yet translated into rapid tactical gains by Russian troops.
Ukraine, Russia advances: the map of the offensive. The Kremlin: «Panic at the front, we must take advantage of it»
The withdrawal of Ukrainian troops to the east
Analysts from the US study center recall that yesterday the commander in chief of the armed forces of Kiev, Oleksandr Syrskyannounced that Ukrainian troops have withdrawn from Berdychi (northwest of Avdiyivka) e Semenivka (west of Avdiyivka) to positions further west. And he acknowledged that Russian forces have achieved «tactical successes» north-west of Avdiivka. “Russian troops are likely to continue to gain tactical advantages in the direction of Avdiivka in the coming weeks,” continues the ISW.
What could happen
The complete withdrawal of Ukrainian troops to fortified positions west of Avdiivka would likely allow the Russians to advance quickly, but the expected arrival of Ukrainian reinforcements will allow Kiev forces to slow Russian tactical gains and possibly stabilize the front. Furthermore, the arrival of Ukrainian reinforcements and additional equipment will force the Russian command to admit that a wider and deeper penetration into the front is unlikely in the near future, or to transfer additional reserves to the area to continue gaining tactical advantages.
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