The percentages and risk of optical illusion

Viareggio, 11 June 2024 – The stone guest is ultimately the only real winner of the elections. Yes, because in this round of the European elections it is theabstentionism which well exceeds the threshold (not just psychological) of 50 percent. A slow and constant trend which has meant that, for example, compared to the political elections in September, almost 18 thousand people from Viareggio and Versilia lost their way to the polls. On that occasion 81,625 voters went to vote, while on Saturday and Sunday there were only 63,700. In other words, one in five voters stayed at home. If we then isolate it from the account Viareggio, abstentionism becomes even stronger: 51,093 voters in September ’22; 39,305 at the European elections. Almost one in four voters did not return to the polls. For lovers of percentages, that is to say that in the city only the 48.05% even less than the national figure which still reached 49.69%. In short, to paraphrase Ennio Flaianowe can say that «the situation politics it is very serious but nevertheless it is not serious». And this is the real issue on which the political class must begin to question itself, because all this abstentionism certifies the inability of all political forces (without exception) to be considered credible interlocutors. And here comes the surprise. Because faced with this acknowledgment the parties tend to underline that they have won and in doing so they focus on the percentages obtained at the polls. Too bad, though, that these provide a‘optical illusion and not real. The absolute data returns that. Thus, limiting ourselves to the Viareggio vote alone, it turns out that compared to the 2022 policies FdI leaves 1,640 on the ground consensus: going from 8,118 votes two years ago to 6,478 last weekend. Yet the percentages tell us that it has essentially held: 27.34% (today) against 27.64% in 2022. Two hundred and ten lost votes, however, from League went from 1,867 (6.36%) in political elections to 1,657 (6.99%) in European elections. Since it makes us understand if the general’s dragging effect was still needed Vannacci. And the same is true for the PD which, albeit at a percentage level, rises to 27.05% compared to 22.16% of the policies of two years ago. But, in absolute terms, Saturday and Sunday got it one hundred votes less (6,409) compared to September 2022 (6,508).

So here it is with the absolute values that we have to ‘do the math’ so as not to be dazzled by the optical illusion with the risk of a very bitter awakening when we go back to voting.

 
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