Italian weather, it’s a short step from unseasonal cold to 40 degrees. Heat wave

Italian weather, it’s a short step from unseasonal cold to 40 degrees. Heat wave
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The weather conditions in Italy they are currently under the influence of currents of polar origin, which have extended their dominion, bringing an almost winter atmosphere in the last part of the season. Current projections, developed by the main forecasting centres, confirm that this atmospheric conditioning will continue for at least next week, mainly influencing the northern and central regions. A series of phenomena such as atmospheric instability, thunderstorms and snowfall are expected, the latter could also affect the hilly areas of the north-west as early as Monday.

Instability and temperatures below normal they will be the norm from 23 to 26 April, a period during which a succession of disturbances are expected that will bring with them rain and thunderstorms, keeping temperatures below the seasonal averages. After this period, the cold currents coming from the north should weaken, favoring a gradual thermal increase starting from April 27, although the return of an anticyclone that stabilizes the situation across the entire Mediterranean basin is not expected. Rather, there will be an increase in the exchange of air masses between the Atlantic and Europe, with possible invasions of cold air and simultaneous rise of warmer air masses from the desert towards central-southern Italy.

Between April 27th and 28th, the temperatures they will begin to rise significantly in the South and in some areas of the Centre, heralding a decidedly more temperate end of the month. Forecasts indicate that around April 30th and May 1st, thermometers could reach 28-30°C in the internal areas of the South and 25-26°C in the Centre. On the contrary, the North could be excluded from this increase in temperature due to the Atlantic currents, which will keep the climate cooler and more variable.

Despite the low temperatures, the countdown for the first highs of 40°C of the year it has already begun. This cold phase, which is entering its most intense period, could still last between 7 and 10 days. No significant increases in temperatures are expected until April 25, but cool and unstable weather is likely to dominate until the end of the month.

The final part of April could instead mark the return of milder conditions, which are particularly expected after the thermal anomalies recorded. May could be a month rich in precipitation, similar to what was already observed last year. Events extremes temperatures are forecast for May, a month during which a significant warm phase could consolidate. L’African anticyclone it could make its presence felt significantly, influencing the weather and climate conditions of the region.

The extreme heat events have become more frequent, making credible the hypothesis that the first 40°C of the season could occur within the first half of May, with greater probability in the southern regions and islands, more exposed to African heat waves.

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