the duels between Forza Italia-Lega and M5s-Pd

One day before the elections, everything is ready in Italy for the opening of the polls. Meanwhile, the polls are already operational in some European Union countries: yesterday morning the Dutch polling stations inaugurated an electoral session which in four days will bring over 370 million voters to vote. Today it’s the turn of Ireland and the Czech Republic.

European elections 2024, what happens after the vote: how the new Parliament and the next Commission will be formed

As for forecasts, research institutes no longer published polls two weeks after the vote. However, some scenarios can be assumed. What surprises and developments can we expect from these elections?

Lega and Fi

The clash between Lega and Forza Italia continues. Roberto Vannacci could be the decisive element in shifting the balance in favor of the League in the European elections. The two parties have been engaged in a tough head-to-head with Forza Italia for several months to win second place in the center-right coalition, and General Vannacci could significantly influence the results. According to a recent Bidimedia poll, around 64% of Northern League voters would be willing to vote for him. Meanwhile, Fi aims to exceed 10 percent. “I’m working to gain the greatest number of votes for Forza Italia, I don’t care what Salvini says, I don’t make comparisons with others”, commented Tajani on “Un giorno da pecora” on Rai Radio1. For the leader of the Northern League, the League “will largely be the second center-right party in the European elections”. A year ago when Berlusconi died they thought we were all missing, now getting more or less votes than another doesn’t interest me, our goal is to reach 10%”, replied the Italian.

Pd and M5s

Schlein faces a double challenge this weekend: on the one hand, the attempt to regain ground on the center-right and counter Giorgia Meloni’s consensus; on the other, maintaining leadership in the centre-left, with the M5S and the ambitions of the Greens and the Left threatening to steal votes and could certainly complicate the situation. THEThe M5S is particularly aggressive and will try to obtain a significant number of votes in Southern Italy, where its consensus is traditionally strongest. The peak of tension between the Pd and M5S is certainly affected by the judicial storms that hit the Pd in ​​Puglia in April, leading to the dissolution of the broad camp with M5S. After the investigation into the alleged vote swap involving Anita Maurodinoia, member of the regional council led by Michele Emiliano, and the arrest for corruption of Alfonso Pisicchio, Emiliano’s former councilor during the previous mandate, what remains of the broad they are just rubble. The judicial scandals were stirred up by Conte during the election campaign with the aim of exposing the inconsistencies and fragilities of the Democratic Party. And trip him yet again.

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