The odds of survival in Serie A with 4 days to go

The odds of survival in Serie A with 4 days to go
The odds of survival in Serie A with 4 days to go

With the draw obtained in the home match against Monza (which could have ended with a success capable of dispelling all fears), the Lecce adds another small piece to the path that is progressively leading him towards his second consecutive salvation in Serie A. On the other hand, if only the last 5 rounds of the tournament played are taken into consideration, Gotti’s men would be in seventh position, a perfect portrait of their very good form, supported by notable results.

Like every week, though – as well as a child who in the car asks his father ‘how much longer’ until he gets to the amusement park – it’s interesting evaluate what the salvation quota currently istaking into account the fact that, ultimately, last day was favorable for the Salento team and that there is less and less left until the end of the championship

First of all, it is good to underline an important concept: the fateful salvation quota it is estimated week after week and provides a projection obtained from the combination of a series of different factors (including the possibilities of the results that can be obtained depending on the future calendar, the probability of the statistical combinatorial calculation and the result trends captured so far by each team embroiled in the fight not to be relegated). In practice, the reasoning we will do below it is only valid here, now and now. What is the point, then, of calculating the salvation quota before the time? Well, it is useful for understanding which values ​​it can approach in reality, even if it is not decisive in the full sense until the infamous ‘mathematical certainty’ intervenes.

So the estimates of the survival rate are the results of a series of statistical calculations: the greater reliability of these forecasts is in the hands of Udstatsa Brazilian account on

 
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