Europa League: Atalanta and Roma, who has the best chance of winning the final?

Atalanta And Rome have arrived brilliantly at the final phase of theEuropa League 2024 edition. To be precise, Atalanta did even better than Roma since by winning their group, group D, they went directly to the round of 16 without having to meet one of the third-placed teams. Champions League. This epilogue instead fell to Roma who, finishing second in group G, defeated Roma in the round of 32 Feyenoord.

Assessing which of the two teams has a greater chance of winning the Europa League trophy is not a simple matter, it depends on the current state of form, experience and the opponent in the next semi-finals.

Currently the Giallorossi and Bergamo are positioned very close in the Serie A standings, Roma is ahead of 57 points to Atalanta who have plenty of points 55. It can therefore be said that the teams have a similar performance even if the Dea has scored a couple of more points in the last 5 games.

In terms of international performance, the balance clearly tips in favor of the Giallorossi. Much more present in Europe than the Bergamo players, the Giallorossi have recently won (2021-22) the UEFA Europa Conference League it’s a Fairs Cup way back in 1961. The Rome also boasts a European Cup final lost on penalties against Liverpool and, again against Liverpool, a semi-final lost by a narrow margin (4-2, 2-5) in the 2017-18 season. Finally, we must not forget the final of the last edition of the Europa League. So if we limited ourselves to the analysis of these parameters we could say that Roma have a better chance than the Goddess of achieving success in the competition. However, there is a third aspect represented by the semi-final opponent.

The Giallorossi had the most fearsome formation of the quartet, that Bayern Leverkusen who currently leads the Bundesliga with a 12 point lead over Bayern Monaco second in the standings. Roma have met Leverkusen 6 times with a slightly favorable record: 2 wins, 3 draws and one defeat. However, today’s Leverkusen are a very different team to the one they met last year in the Europa League semi-final.

Even if it is still a semi-final, access to the final appears simpler for theAtalanta being theOlimpyque Marseille considered the least strong team of the four. In this regard, according to the updated Europa League winning odds, the first of the two semi-finals sees Roma winning at 3.55 against Leverkusen’s 2.05, while Atalanta’s victory is given at 2.55 against Marseille’s 2.80. In the ante-post, however, the favorite is Leverkusen at 1.90, followed by Atalanta at 4.15 and Roma 4.75. Marseille closes with 9.0.

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