Last ninety minutes and then Taranto will know what their path will be in the playoffs, to be lived peacefully, as coach Capuano wants. Let’s try to understand all the possibilities that the last day can hold and the probable opponents of the rossoblù.
TARANTO FIFTH PLACE: as per the rules, we will take to the field in the first round and will do so at home against the tenth-placed team. At the moment in tenth place is theBold Cerignola, who is finishing the championship on a high note and with the victory in last Sunday’s derby, got his cousins from Foggia into trouble. Certainly Cerignola’s home match against Giugliano could also mean ninth place, which would mean, for the Daunians, facing Picerno. Latin tenth is the other possibility, and it also depends on the rossoblù, who are playing against the Lazio team tomorrow. A draw could be good for Capuano’s men, who knows for the Nerazzurri. More unlikely hypotheses, that either Foggia or Sorrento will be back in the playoffs.
TARANTO FOURTH PLACE: we will have to hope for a misstep from Casertana. Here too, the possible opponent could be the Cerignola and secondly the Latin. The hypothesis of a three-way ranking with Cerignola out of the game, which would reward Sorrento, is very difficult.
CATANIA AT THE PLAYOUT – All these calculations, however, could be overturned by the Catania unknown: if the Etna players unfortunately end up in the play-outs, as per regulation the fourth-placed team would gain direct access to the first national round of the playoffs while the fifth would miss the first round. Therefore, if Taranto were to finish fourth they would return to the field directly on May 11th, for the first national round, with the return match at home. As fifth, he would miss the first round of the group. It all depends on the rossozzurri.
THE SCIENTIFIC HYPOTHESES – we also include those unlikely hypotheses. If Taranto were to recover two points (or rather four) by appealing to CONI they could even finish second in the standings and start from the second national round, missing four matches (two in the group round and two in the first national round, organized with home and away matches). Naturally in case of second place alone or on equal points with Avellinowho are inferior to the rossoblù in direct matches.
OUR FORECASTS
Taranto second: 0.001%
Taranto third: 0.001%
Taranto fourth and Catania in the playoffs: 30%
Taranto fourth and Catania in the playouts: 10%
Taranto fifth and Catania in the playoffs: 40%
Taranto fifth and Catania in the playouts: 20%
