Fewer children and brain drain: in ten years there will not be enough workers in Tuscia. The CISL: “Nefarious consequences”

Less and less workforce in Tuscia. As happens in the rest of Italy, with the sole exception of Prato, the forecasts are also very bad for the province of Viterbo. According to the CGIA of Mestre, within the next 10 years the number of people of working age (15-64 years) in Italy is destined to decrease by 3 million units (-8.1 percent). If at the beginning of 2024 this demographic cohort included just under 37.5 million units, in 2034 it will fall dramatically, stopping at just under 34.5 million people. “An alarming situation that should make everyone immediately aware of the consequences it will have,” warns Elisa Durantini, secretary of the CISL of Viterbo.

First the predictions. Viterbo is placed in 60th place in the ranking: on January 1, 2024, the working-age population was 193,701 units. In ten years the collapse will take place: on the same date in 2034 there will be just 178,239 active citizens, or 15,462 less (-7.98%). Leading the list is Agrigento where the greatest drop is expected with minus 22%, while closing it as mentioned is Prato, the only territory that will mark an albeit feeble increase of 0.75%. In the rest of Lazio, it will be worse in Frosinone with a minus 10.46%, in Rieti -9.68. Less worse than Viterbo in Rome with -6.26% and Latina 5.99.

The reasons for this collapse? For the CGIA, they are to be found in the progressive aging of the population: with fewer and fewer young people and with many baby boomers destined to leave the job market having reached age limits, many territories will suffer a real ‘depopulation’, including of potential workers, especially in the Noon. The positive result of Prato and of those provinces which have suffered smaller contractions than the others is attributable to the fact that, among other things, these territorial areas have a very high rate of foreign population compared to the resident population, thus lowering the average age and positively impacting birth rates.

“Unfortunately, Viterbo – comments Durantini – is not a happy island compared to the rest of the country. In addition to the birth rate decline, there are other factors that unfortunately will lead to this decrease in the workforce: increasingly few young people often move abroad in search of better employment and, therefore, living conditions. Unfortunately, there is no magic recipe that can immediately reverse these phenomena. But certainly all institutions at every level should all seriously reflect on long-term structural interventions.” Also because the consequences of the decrease in births will affect all areas of life and the economy. “The pension system is already in crisis, there are fewer and fewer pupils in schools – continues the CISL secretary. We can no longer pretend nothing happened.”

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